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Bloomberg just released a poll showing Trump with a 2-point lead in Florida.
This is not surprising, given that the only people who have landlines anymore or answer the phone are old people.
So if your sample is mostly pro-Trump people, it will continue to show a bias toward Trump (or toward Hillary, depending on the initial sample).
It only tracks "undecided" voters, who let's face is, are utter morons.
And if anyone calls asking you to complete a "survey" chances are it is also a scam.
Young people don't have landlines and screen their calls on their smart phones - answering only those calls from people they know, letting the rest bounce to voicemail.Young people assume - correctly - that most unknown callers are likely scam artists these days.Since the base of a few thousand voters includes one black man who is in favor of Trump, it incorrectly suggests that Trump has a huge black following.The problem with a "tracking" poll also is that if you keep asking the same people their opinion, chances are, they will give you the same opinions.When I hear someone say they are "not sure" who to vote for, or that "both candidates are alike" I wonder if they flunked that Kindergarten test of "one of these things is not like the other" (no shame, I flunked it myself).But telephone polling is another form that is still used today and is utterly obsolete.